RareX AGM Presentation
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
RareX
ASX: REE
rarex.com.au
Exploring for and
Engineering carbonatites
Exploring Australian RE-Nb targets
District scale RE-Nb project and bullseye RE-Nb projects acquired, heavy RE project readied
Focused on a stand-alone start-up stage via phosphate
Engineering Cummins Range RE-P
November 2024
Nb RE P
41
57-71
15
Niobium
Rare Earths
Phosphorus
Disclaimer &
Competent Persons’ Statements
Investor Relations
James Durrant
MD & Chief Executive Officer
P: +61 8 6383 6593
E: info@rarex.com.au
Engage
RareX Investor Hub
ree.investorhub.com/welcome
P: +61 8 9388 1474
RareX HQ
L1, 338 Barker Rd,
Subiaco WA 6008
E: info@rarex.com.au
This presentation contains summary information about RareX Limited (REE) and is current as
of 29 November 2024 and is authorised for release by the Board. The information in this
presentation is of a general background and does not purport to be complete. This
presentation is not investment or financial product advice (nor tax, accounting or legal advice)
and is not intended to be used for the basis of making an investment decision. The information
contained in this presentation has been prepared without taking into account the objectives,
financial situation or needs of individuals. Investors should obtain their own advice before
making any investment decision. REE has prepared this document based on information
available to it at the time of preparation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is
made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information, opinions and
conclusions contained in this presentation. For further information, please contact Chief
Executive Officer, James Durrant.
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking statements
can generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”,
“could”, “may”, “predict”, “plan”, “will”, “believe”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other
similar expressions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and
performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and
estimates provided in this presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which
are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends,
which are based on interpretations of current market conditions.
Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates
are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or
guarantee of future performance. This presentation contains statements that are subject to
risk factors associated with REE and the mining exploration industry. It is believed that the
expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a
range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially. REE
disclaims any intent or obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise.
To the maximum extent permitted by law, REE, their related bodies corporate (as that term is
defined in the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)) and the officers, directors, employees, advisers
and agents of those entities do not accept any responsibility or liability including, without
limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence on the part of any person, for any loss
arising from the use of the presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with
it.
Competent Person’s Statement - Geology: The information in this presentation relating to the
Mineral Resource Estimate for the Cummins Range Rare Earths Project is extracted from the
Company’s ASX announcement dated 25 January 2024 which was reported in accordance with
Listing Rule 5.8. REE confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially
affects the information included in the original announcement and that all material assumptions
and technical parameters underpinning the Mineral Resource Estimate continue to apply. The
Company confirms there have been no material changes to exploration results since first reported
in accordance with Listing Rule 5.7 on the dates referenced throughout the presentation for the
Cummins Range, Mt Mansbridge, Khaleesi and Piper Projects.
Competent Person’s Statement – Metallurgy: The information in this presentation relating to
metallurgy was first reported in accordance with Listing Rule 5.7 on 11 July 2023. REE confirms
that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included
in the original announcement.
Competent Person’s Statement – Production Target and Forecast Financial Information: The
information in this presentation relating to production targets and forecast financial information
(FFI) was first reported on 22 August 2023. REE confirms that the material assumptions
underpinning the production target and FFI continue to apply and have not materially changed.
The production target is based on a portion of inferred resource. There is a low level of geological
confidence associated with Inferred Mineral Resources and there is no certainty that further
exploration work will result in the determination of Indicated Mineral Resources or that the
production target itself will be realized.
Global Resource (JORC 2012) – Cummins Range
2.5% P2O5
Grade Cut
Tonnes
Mt
TREO
ppm
P2O5
%
NdPr
ppm
Nb2O5
ppm
HREO
ppm
Indicated
77.4
4,650
6.7
1,020
780
280
Inferred
446.9
2,860
4.2
620
550
170
Total
524.3
3,120
4.6
670
580
190
Exploring and Engineering Carbonatites
Managing risks for a return in value once the head-winds turn
1
Improved and de-risked
asset base
Engineering out risk at Cummins Range
Focus on simplified, stand-alone start-up stage
Supply chain de-risked
Approvals and permitting progressed
Exploration assets expanded and improved
Acquired Khaleesi Nb-RE intrusive complex
Acquired Piper bullseye Nb-RE project on trend from Luni
De-risked Mt Mansbridge heavy rare earth project
De-risking Maude Creek heavy rare earth project
Expansion work-streams through targeted M&A
East Africa and Saudi focus
Advanced projects in emerging jurisdictions
Sources:
1 https://www.morningstar.com.au/insights/stocks/257696/should-you-invest-in-small-caps
2 https://www.asianmetals.com – 27/11/2024
3 https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/higher-prices-needed-to-develop-ex-china-rare-earths-supply?
4 https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/global-ev-sales-up-305-september-china-shines-europe-recuperates-2024-10-14/
5 https://www.industry.gov.au/news/australia-and-european-union-partner-critical-minerals
2
Improving metals and
market sentiment
Protracted suppressed capital market
sentiment looks to be ending
Small-caps challenged over last 24 months; but
Market looks to be turning1
Reducing interested rates
Over-priced ASX 200
IPOs increasing again
Critical metals prices must improve
Metal prices below incentivisation pricing
Rare earths NdPr @ US $58/kg2 currently
Required US $75-80/kg3
Electrification-of-things still strong
EV growth up 30% in September 20244
Supply chain security requirements increase further5
Corporate Snapshot
Rare Earth prices appear to have bottomed
Capital Structure
ASX Code
Share Price (25 Nov 2024)
Shares on Issue
Market Capitalisation (25 Nov 2024)
REE
A$0.011
800M
A$8.8M
Cash (Sept Qtr)
Investments (30 September 2024)2
Cash and Investments
A$0.86M + A0.83M1
A$3.06M
A$4.75M
Shareholders
Top 50 Shareholders
Number of Shareholders
Major Shareholders
NdPr Oxide Pricing
Asian Metals, EXW China
(USD/kg)
0.08
140
Adamas 2027
Price Forecast
U$120/kg
0.07
~42%
~5,000
Simon Lee AO (~5.4%)
Jeremy Robinson (~4.9%)
120
0.06
100
0.05
Key people
Chairman: Non-Executive
Managing Director & CEO
Jeremy Robinson
James Durrant
Director: Non-Executive
Director: Non-Executive
Danny Goeman
Shaun Hardcastle
Company Secretary
Oonagh Malone
Notes:
1 - A$0.83M R&D rebate for FY2024
2 - Kincora Copper: 45M shares plus project royalty
Cosmos Exploration Limited: 10M shares
Canada Rare Earths Corp: 25M shares
Share Price Information
ASX: REE (AUD/share)
25 Nov 2024
U$57.5/kg
80
0.04
60
0.03
25 Nov 2024
Prev Close:
0.011
0.02
0.01
Jan 2023
Jun 2023
Oct 2023
Feb 2024
Jun 2024
40
20
Nov 2024
Peer Group Comparison
A challenging period for all
Low risk appetite has prevailed
12-Month ASX peer group share price performance
Limited high-risk-high-reward capital
Poor critical metals market backdrop
Negative media pressures sentiment
-62%
Global trends favourable
ASX:HAS
US tariffs on China likely
Supply chain security is a major geopolitical risk
Metal prices unsustainable
-33%
ASX:ARU
-64%
REE Peer Group Share Price Performance over
12 months
ASX:ASM
-44%
120%
ASX:NTU
-65%
ASX:REE
-52%
ASX:DRE
-33%
ASX:AR3
-64%
ASX:BHM
100%
Benchmarks
80%
60%
-51%
40%
20%
0%
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
2023
Notes:
ASX data analysis
Peer group selected for ASX listed companies with Australian assets
Jun
2024
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
MSCI World
+26%
S&P/ASX 200
+20%
ASX Small Ordinaries
+18%
A Year Requiring Internal Risk Mitigation
Against external market headwinds
Challenges
External
Junior Market
Sentiment
Low appetite for higher
risk-higher reward
investments
Investments have
moved up the liquidity
and market-cap curve
Critical Metals Market
Suppressed by
oversupply in China
Compounded by hiccups
in de-carbonization
sentiment
2024
Solutions
Internal
2024-2025
Corporate level cost control and business rationalisation
Board simplification
Reduced 3rd party service provision
Improved internal capability & contracted services out
Engineering Focus at Cummins Range refined
RE metallurgy paused to save costs following achieving 20x upgrades in
beneficiation4
Phosphate metallurgy focus following a revision in the approach
Stage-1 phosphate startup being optimised
Exploration asset growth and value-add
Acquired Khaleesi – 1,000km of Nb-RE carbonatite ground1
Acquired Piper – Bullseye magnetic anomaly in partnership with Resource
Potentials2
De-risked Mt Mansbridge – Identified Xenotime HRE mineralised system3
Notes:
1: ASX Announcement 23 May 2024, RareX acquires district-scale niobium project in the East Yilgarn, WA.
2: ASX Announcement 01 Oct 2024, RareX gains access to bulls eye magnetic anomaly in the NT.
3. ASX Announcement 18 Sept 2024, RareX review of Mt Mansbridge shows promising HRE potential.
5: ASX Announcement 18 Oct 2023 Rare Earths beneficiation work delivers strong TREO upgrades
Cummins
Range
Project
Engineering Australia’s largest un-developed rare
earth deposit via phosphate
Solving for challenges
57-71
15
RE P
Rare Earths
Phosphorus
Source:
1: ASX Announcement 07 Nov 2022, RareX signs offtake MOU with Nitron for Stages 1-2 products.
2. ASX Announcement 09 Nov 2023, RareX signs offtake MOU with Nitron for Stages 1-2 products.
1
Weak RE prices (turning?)
Temporary reduction in rare earth metallurgy - not yet solved
for all geological domains
Focus on phosphate metallurgy using alternative methodology
Aiming for a phosphate optimised process solution for a
standalone Stage-1 phosphate project
2
Accessing future markets
Supply chain de-risking with port and trucking solutions – belt
loading, land access and haulage agreements
Road options being discussed with government
Offtake - MOU with Ordco and Nitron. Exploring options in SE
Asia with JTSI1,2.
3
Slow approvals
Completed environmental baselines - Ongoing monitoring
Early regulator engagement ongoing
Focused resources on native title agreement finalisation
Delays a function of challenges regarding changes in
leadership and governance within the PBC – Slow but
progressing
Exploration
Projects
Exploring Australia for carbonatites
and rare earths with rationalised,
prioritised and improved assets
Solving for single asset
exposure
Niobium
Mts Mansbridge HRE system
Xenotime mineralised system
All basement Killi Killi Formation pegged and Heritage complete
Heavy rare Earths from surface, close to Browns Range
Incorrect drilling orientation
2
Cummins Range RE anomalies
Potential carbonatite swarm
Previous drilling missed geophysical targets
Access and permitting complete
57-71
3
Rare Earths
Khaleesi
45km along trend from highest grade RE intersection in Australia
Near-by, and in same age rocks, as Mt Weld (Lynas)
Piper
Bullseye magnetic anomaly – carbonatite?
Along trend from Luni and Nolans Bore
Nb RE
41
1
Khaleesi and Piper Nb-RE
Expanding
1 East Africa
Opportunities
Rationale
Local knowledge and connections
Rift valley geology
Indian Ocean Rim
Expanding by homing in on specific
projects in targeted jurisdictions
Solving for single
jurisdictional exposure
Nb RE
41
Niobium
57-71
Rare Earths
To-Date
Project targets identified
Local and international advisory on-boarded
Proposals prepared
2
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Rationale
Emerging minerals jurisdiction
Vision 2030 enabled by financial incentives
Arabian-Nubian shield geology
To-Date
2-projects applied for: Unsuccessful but with constructive
feedback
Local licensing and registrations
Potential partnership discussions
Planned Milestones 2025
Based on our current asset portfolio with potential new acquisition upside
Cummins Range
RE-P
Exploration
Nb-RE
Expanding
Opportunities
Revised plan – focussed on
standalone phosphate startup
Revised priorities for improved
milestone delivery
Confidential activities for
additional assets
New phos -product generation
Q1 Final prep for drilling:
Cummins Range Drill Preparations –
fully permitted
Mt Mansbridge HRE
Geochem/Geophysics
Mt Mansbridge drill preparations
Khaleesi drill preparations (access,
camp, clearances, PoWs)
Maude Creek deep-dive completion
Q1 Revised priority:
Product testing
Confirmation of new processing
path – phos-optimised
In parallel:
Mining Heritage agreement
Approval submission
Triggering:
Feasibility
Approvals
Q2-Q3 prioritised by access and
approvals
Drilling Mt Mansbridge (2000m)
Drilling Cummins Range (1500m)
Drilling Khaleesi (5000m)
Potential acquisition 1
Partnership
Granting
Potential acquisition 2
Partnership
Granting
Strong In-House Capability
Explore, Engineer, Expand
James Durrant
Chief Executive Officer
Mining and Mechanical
Engineer with nearly 20 years
across Tier 1 operations and
junior company project
development in Africa and
Australia. GAICD.
Guy Moulang
Exploration Manager
Geologist and AIG Member
with 20 years' experience in
technology metals, base
metals and gold exploration.
5 years with RareX on
Cummins Range
Kay Hofmann
Study & Approvals
Manager
Ex Mineral Resources Limited
and BHP. Leader of
engineering and operational
teams across mine planning,
production, drill & blast, A&I,
hydrogeology and
environmental baselines
Jeremy Robinson
Non-Executive Chairman
Fund raising, Strategy,
Corporate Development
Danny Goeman
Non-Executive Director
Negotiations, Offtake,
Marketing, Shipping
Shaun Hardcastle
Non-Executive Director
Corporate Law, Finance
Law, Governance
“A team with grit and determination
with the capacity, capability and
drive to push through challenges”
Board of Directors
Jeremy Robinson – Non-Executive Chairman
James Durrant – Managing Director
Danny Goeman – Non-Executive Director
Shaun Hardcastle – Non-Executive Director
Company Secretary
Oonagh Malone
Chief Executive Officer
James Durrant
RareX HQ
L1, 338 Barker Rd,
Subiaco WA 6008
ABN 65 105 578 756
T: (08) 6383 6593
E: info@rarex.com.au
Follow us
Investor Hub:
LinkedIn:
X Twitter:
https://investors.rarex.com.au/welcome
https://www.linkedin.com/company/rarex-limited
https://twitter.com/rarex_asx
rarex.com.au
ASX: REE
Engage
Via
Investor
Hub
Thank
you
Appendix
Ap. 1 - Engineering
Bulk Loading Facility access
4Ha industrial land option
Cummins Range
Wyndham
Port
Kununurra
Metal price headwinds
require new thinking
Scoping Study1 forms the basis
Bulk Haulage Agreement
Volume driven JV option
Ord River
Hydro Plant
NPV8 post-tax:
IRR post-tax:
Total Capex:
EBITDA:
AU$ 333M
27%
AU$ 350M
AU$ 1.5B
Positive RE metallurgical results2
Mineral
Corridor
535km
Halls Creek
Tanami Road being sealed
Seeking Gov support to link
RareX Project
Cummins Range
Source:
1: ASX Announcement 22 Aug 2023,
https://investors.rarex.com.au/announcements/4396391.
2: ASX Announcements 28 Nov 2023, 18 Oct 2023, 29 Aug
2023, 11 Jul 2023,11 Oct 2022 and 04 Oct 2023,
https://investors.rarex.com.au/announcements.
3: ASX Announcements 10 Jan 2024, 08 Nov 2023 and 13
Apr 2023, https://investors.rarex.com.au/announcements.
4: ASX Announcements 30 Aug 2024,
https://investors.rarex.com.au/announcements/6505353
Stage-1 as a standalone
1. Pause RE research and
engineering
Met testing for RE paused4
External engineering support
paused
Internal capacity improved for cost
efficiencies
Supply chain de-risks
development
2. Test alternative phosphate
optimised technology
Existing minerals corridor
Access to bulk loading3
Alternative 3rd party technology
being tested
Synthetic fertilizer product
produced
Plant trials in Q1 2025
Surveys initiate approvals
Baselines complete with no
significant environmental hurdles
Regulator pre-engagement
underway
TO agreement well developed with
positive alignment but slow to close
3. Feasibility engineering on
stand-alone Stage-1
Pending product testing
Revised studies and financial
modelling
Ap. 2a - Exploration
Cummins Range near-mine anomalies
Rare Earths
Project information
Known anomalies remain untested
Current HG resource1: 44Mt at
1.02% TREO and 5.8% P2O5
Global Cummins Range Resource1:
524Mt at 0.31% TREO and 4.6%
P2O5
Current resource is open in multiple
directions
No drilling by RareX outside of the
resource area in the pipe.
Exploration Plan
Simple programme on familiar site
with approvals in place
Geophysics completed and
interpreted2
Drill 1,200m RC holes to test
anomalies
Targeting eastern portion of
Cummins Range Pipe where historic
drilling intersected 14m @ 0.5%
TREO from 23m to end of hole Incl.
2m @ 2.6% TREO3.
Opportunities for further rare earthsniobium discoveries inside the
Cummins Range Pipe
Opportunities outside the pipe in
identified anomalies, un-drilled
References:
1: ASX Announcement 25/01/2024 Cummins Range
Mineral Resource Update
2: ASX Announcement 13/11/24 Geophysical Surveys
Identify Potential New Ultramafic Pipes
3: ASX Announcement 01/05/23 Cummins Range
Resources Soars to 519Mt at 0.32% TREO, 4.6% P2O5
App. 2b - Exploration
Mt Mansbridge
Heavy Rare Earths
Project information
Exploration Plan
Pre 2021 focus was unconformity
uranium and gold exploration
Desk-top deep dive completed1
Xenotime mineralised system near
Browns Range in Killi Killi formation
Outcropping xenotime over 300m
with historical pit samples up to 6%
yttrium at the Sigma Prospect
Historical RC holes intersected
significant HRE mineralization
including 4m @ 0.48% TREO with
63% HREO
Majority of the Paleoproterozoic Killi
Killi Formation (Basement rocks) is
has not been assessed for rare earth
geochemical signatures.
2km long TREO soil anomaly on
unconformity contact
Simple programme on brownfield site
as soon as tenement granted
Mapping and ground truthing of
historical work
Aerial gravity survey to locate
hidden structures in the Killi Killi
formation (Basement rocks)
1500m auger samples over the
basement rocks focused around
identified structures
2000m of RC drilling at the Sigma
and newly developed targets
References:
1: ASX Announcement 18/09/2024 RareX review of Mt
Mansbridge shows Promising HRE Potential
Ap. 2c - Exploration
Khaleesi alkaline intrusive complex
Niobium Rare Earths
Project information
Exploration Plan
Newly discovered, nicely faulted,
alkaline intrusion complex
Geophysics interpretation complete
20km diameter carbonatite district in
highly fertile Eastern Yilgarn craton
Western half faulted down under
Mulga Rocks
Never been explored for rare earths
and Nb
Possible carbonatite intrusions have
been identified from magnetic and
gravity anomalies1
Re-assaying of available historical
drilling have shown very elevated
rare earths and niobium in the
regolith profile2
References:
1: ASX Announcement 11/06/24 Historic data review
delivers exciting targets at Khaleesi
2: ASX Announcement 14/10/24 Khaleesi assay results
show elevated NB and significant REE
Simple programme on familiar site
with approvals in place
Historical assays located and tested
Access agreements completed with
most neighbours - Deep Yellow
agreement remaining
Heritage agreement complete
Awaiting DEMIRS to grant final
licenses
Finalise access approvals and
environmental management plans
Drill 5,000m of RC to test
carbonatite targets under cover
sequence
Ap. 2d - Exploration
Piper Project
Niobium Rare Earths
Project information
Niobium-rare earths carbonatite pipe
target in the Aileron Province
Northern Territory
170km along strike from Nolans
Bore REE deposit
2.5km magnetic bulls eye anomaly
under 100-200m of Neoproterozoic
cover1
Project composed of 2 tenements.
EL33675 is granted and EL33674 is
pending
Aboriginal land and access
agreements are being negotiated
References:
1: ASX Announcement 02/01/2024 RareX Gains Access To
Bulls Eye Magnetic Anomaly
Ap. 3 - Exploration Schedule
Prioritisation in order of consideration for license status, approvals process under heritage agreements and seasons
QUARTER
Q1 2025
Q2 2025
MOUNT MANSBRIDGE
Permits
Surveys
Geochem/Geophys
Drilling
Reporting
CUMMINS RANGE
Permits
Surveys
Drilling
Reporting
KHALEESI
Permits
Surveys
Drilling
Reporting
Q3 2025
Q4 2025
Ap. 4 - Journey of RareX
Driven by a fundamental belief in the electrification revolution
RareX
Foundation
’18
Built on the fundamental
belief in rare earths and their
contribution to the global
megatrend of electrification
’19
Acquisition
Cummins Range
Known carbonatite acquired
because of its Rare Earth and
Niobium potential
Mineral ’21-’22
Resource growth
Approvals
’24
Cummins Range
Acquisition ’24
Piper Nb-RE
Australia’s largest undeveloped Rare Earth
deposit, with battery grade
Phosphate and appreciable
Niobium:
1.6 million tonnes Rare
Earths (NdPr dominant)
24 million tonnes
Phosphate (for batteries)
Environmental approvals
>90% complete
Native title agreement >
90% complete
Regulatory preengagement
Bullseye anomaly
Along strike from Luni
Along strike from Nolans
Supported by Resource
Potentials
Engineering
Studies
’23
Scoping studies complete
AU$333M NPV, 27% IRR
Geology team freed up for
business development
Acquisition ’24
Khaleesi Nb-RE
District scale Niobium
Large scale discovery
Tier 1 data
Carbonatite hunting ground
De-Risk
’24
Mansbridge HRE
Xenotime system
Proximal to Browns Range
HRE Veins in Killi Killi
formation
Historical drilling in wrong
orientation
Ap. 5 - Niobium Market
Critical metal
Concentrated supply
Niobium market growth projected at 9.92% CAGR [2024 - 2029]2
Niobium price set to further increase with increasing demand
Ferroniobium Sale Outlook to 203211
250,000
Steel and super-alloys
Niobium is a hot market
Need for niobium follows steel
(~75%) and super-alloys
productions (~25%)1
Niobium offers better strength,
greater heat and wear resistance
Accelerating demand for
structural steel & lighter-weight
vehicles
WA1 Resources - 500% share price
growth over 1 year3
Encounter Resources - 60% share
price growth after Nb drilling and
mineralisation announcements from
Jun 20234,5
Summit Minerals - 50% share price
increase for Nb, REE and Li projects
acquisition6,7
Rincon Resources - 170% share
price increase in 1 month post REE &
Nb mineral target announcement8,9
Consumer electronics
200,000
Semi-conductor electronics
Super-conducting magnets
150,000
Batteries
Improved battery performance
100,000
Supply chain concentration
50,000
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
~90% produced in Brazil1
Production dominated by CBMM,
CMOC and Niobec
Strategic significance
US depends entirely on Nb imports
requiring critical mineral strategy10
US and China competition over
hypersonic technology emerges Nb
strategic significance10
Current Price12
US $46.0/kg FeNb, 66% Rotterdam
US $52.5/kg Nb Pentoxide, 99.5% FOB China
World FeNb Sale (t Nb)
Sources:
8: https://www.asx.com.au/markets/company/RCR.
9: https://www.investi.com.au/api/announcements/rcr/2ae5c21c-b4e.pdf.
10: https://www.csis.org/analysis/hypersonic-hegemony-niobium-and-western-hemispheres-role-us-china-power-struggle.
11: https://niobaymetals.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/James-Bay_Presentation-Ont-Gov-March-2023-1.pdf.
12: https://www.asianmetal.com/price/initPriceListEn.am?pId=14&priceShowAttr=1¶mId=488&isProduct=true.
Sources:
1: https://metallic.media/how-wa1-resources-rare-niobium-discovery-could-help-elons-mission-to-mars/.
2: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/niobium-market.
3: https://www.fool.com.au/2024/05/06/up-over-100-last-week-down-30-today-whats-going-on-with-this-asx-mining-stock/.
4: https://www.asx.com.au/markets/company/enr.
5: https://www.encounterresources.com.au/investors/.
6: https://www.asx.com.au/markets/company/sum.
7: https://summitminerals.com.au/investor-centre/#asx-announcement.
Ap. 6 - Rare Earths Market
Clean energy revolution
EVs and wind turbines
EU Net zero ambition by 2050 –
$3.8T investment by 20501
US net zero ambition by 2050 $30T investment by 20502
Consumer electronics
Power tools and consumer goods
Communication devices
Growing technology penetration
Rare Earths in Defence
Growing use in defence
applications: subs, planes, UAVs8
9% growth in defence spending
to a record $2.2T in 20237
Strategic, secure supply required
Supply chain concentration
~85% flows through China5
Advanced RE projects
attract big money
Australia: A$1.25b to ILU9, A$533m
to ARU10, A$22m to RE research
projects11, A$220m to HAS12
Gina Rinehart: 10% ARU stake13
Andrew Forrest: A$150m to HAS14
Sovereign supply chains key
Governments mandating sovereign
supply
Critical Mineral incentives across
the developed world
Australian , Canadian, US strategic
alliances key to the decarbonization
of supply chain3
Price recovery:
Current: US c.$57.5/kg NdPr Oxide
2027:
US $120/kg NdPr Oxide
(Adamas)
Increase: 2x price multiple
Sources:
1: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/04/bnef-european-energy-transition-2022/.
2: https://about.bnef.com/blog/report-shows-that-inflation-reduction-act-alone-wont-set-united-states-on-track-for-netzero/#:~:text=To%20get%20on%20track%20for,rapidly%20cut%20down%20on%20emissions.
3: https://www.globalaustralia.gov.au/industries/net-zero/critical-minerals.
5: https://www.forbes.com/sites/miltonezrati/2023/12/11/how-much-control-does-china-have-over-rare-earthelements/?sh=6c04f4d15b21.
6: Project Blue Energy Transition Outlook to 2050, November 2023.
Demand growth
2 x growth by 2035
3 x growth by 2050
NdPr Demand Outlook6 to 2050
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2010
2015
2020
2023
2025
2030
2035
2040
NdPr Demand [tpa]
Sources:
7: https://english.elpais.com/international/2024-02-19/an-insecure-world-launches-into-rearmament-with-a-9-military-spending-boom-in-2023.html.
8: https://www.defense.gov/News.
9: https://www.industry.gov.au/news/strategically-significant-government-loan-enables-development-australias-first-fully-integrated-rare-earths-refinery.
10: https://wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/ARU/02784883.pdf
11: https://www.industry.gov.au/news/critical-minerals-and-rare-earths-research-projects-receive-22-million.
12: https://www.naif.gov.au/our-projects/hastings-yangibana-rare-earths-project/.
13: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-14/arafura-nt-rare-earth-minerals-mine-to-get-840m-taxpayer-funding/103585468.
14: https://www.afr.com/companies/mining/forrest-pumps-150m-into-rare-earths-aspirant-20220826-p5bcx8.
2045
2050
Share your feedback
Discover